Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.059475 0.070629 0.083151 0.098231 0.115876 0.135849 0.160151
2025-03-23 0.043236 0.057768 0.075940 0.100241 0.131787 0.171246 0.224228
2025-03-30 0.032784 0.048101 0.068953 0.099219 0.141790 0.199267 0.282428
2025-04-06 0.025568 0.040603 0.062590 0.096757 0.148116 0.221942 0.335462
2025-04-13 0.020269 0.034528 0.056736 0.093376 0.151726 0.240267 0.383721
2025-04-20 0.017381 0.031503 0.054752 0.095175 0.162863 0.270493 0.452897
2025-04-27 0.014930 0.028663 0.052462 0.095881 0.171998 0.298292 0.521213
2025-05-04 0.012926 0.026191 0.050304 0.096311 0.180457 0.325642 0.591640
2025-05-11 0.011417 0.024332 0.048882 0.097709 0.190584 0.356707 0.671648
2025-05-18 0.010398 0.023227 0.048645 0.101181 0.204781 0.396304 0.770916
2025-05-25 0.008821 0.020680 0.045191 0.097869 0.205619 0.411555 0.827207
2025-06-01 0.007795 0.019116 0.043455 0.097695 0.212444 0.438573 0.908309
2025-06-08 0.006771 0.017390 0.041161 0.096130 0.216478 0.461107 0.984258
2025-06-15 0.006185 0.016584 0.040751 0.098577 0.229237 0.502487 1.102581
2025-06-22 0.005449 0.015267 0.038968 0.097673 0.234607 0.529276 1.193873
2025-06-29 0.004729 0.013844 0.036694 0.095269 0.236263 0.548325 1.270800
2025-07-06 0.004064 0.012429 0.034202 0.091942 0.235301 0.561490 1.336274
2025-07-13 0.003736 0.011880 0.033801 0.093716 0.246617 0.603117 1.469241
2025-07-20 0.003396 0.011228 0.033025 0.094411 0.255377 0.639824 1.594818
2025-07-27 0.003083 0.010595 0.032195 0.094835 0.263500 0.675878 1.722582
2025-08-03 0.002840 0.010125 0.031743 0.096213 0.274239 0.719295 1.872258
2025-08-10 0.002687 0.009918 0.032010 0.099635 0.290793 0.778613 2.066426
2025-08-17 0.002345 0.009005 0.030043 0.096371 0.288902 0.791774 2.147854